When it comes to buy-side carnage, most of the media ink has been spilled on hedge funds. But mutual funds have fared much worse on a performance basis. By some measures, on average, the losses wracked up by equity mutual funds are about double the losses of hedge funds. And who can forget that one money market mutual fund broke the buck in 2008, and there were several others that may have been close. Investors certainly took note.
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Mutual fund industry suffering
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For hedge funds, can 2008 repeat itself?
Hedge funds on average were down 18.5 percent for 2008 (as of November), and assets under management, which peaked at almost $2 trillion last June, shrank by almost one-fifth (as of October), according to Hedge Fund Research data. The Washington Post says assets under management could shrink by as much as 75 percent.
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Fair value rule left intact
Recall that as part of the massive $700 billion package passed by Congress in October, the SEC was required to study fair value accounting and the role it played in the recent credit market pyrotechnics. The law also affirmed the SEC's authority to suspend mark-to-market accounting, and some thought the industry had a real chance at having the rule suspended. But no such luck. The SEC has issued its report along with a recommendation that the rule be left intact.
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Treasury still on the defensive
For a while, it seemed like open season on the Treasury Department and the criticisms were flying fast and furious. In hindsight, the department was, and is, something of an easy target because the task was all but impossible: Implement a package to basically save the world economy--on the fly.
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Madoff trustee seeks unusual powers
The New York Times reports that the trustee charged with making sense of the Bernard Madoff scam has asked a court for unusual subpoena powers. There's a sense of urgency attached to the request; allegedly Madoff was making plans to accept large amounts of money very near the time he was confessing his Ponzi scheme to his sons, who eventually turned him in.
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FINRA fines E-Trade
FINRA has found that two units of E-Trade did not have adequate anti-money laundering programs in place. Such policies and procedures "could not reasonably be expected to detect and cause the reporting of suspicious securities transactions." The lack of automated tools was noted. Article
Read more »What a year!
Here's to hoping that we never live through another 2008. About the best that can be said about the year is that it's just about over. In this issue you will find what I think are the most notable stories of 2008.
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JPMorgan in expansion mode
JPMorgan Chase has fared as well as any bank in the credit crunch. It has emerged as one of the Big Four and seems to be bent on strategic expansion in a way that Citi is not. Case in point: JPMorgan will buy two units from UBS, a Canadian commodities energy business and its global agricultural business. Both allow for strategic fills. Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but the general view is that while JPMorgan is in position to make these sort of deals, Citi is not. In fact, most people think that Citi needs to stay focused on asset sales.
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Madoff scandal siphons investigative resources away
Just how big a deal is the Barnard Madoff scandal? It seems it is starting to pressure already scarce resources at the FBI. Bloomberg reports that the FBI has been forced to shift resources from terrorism issues to Wall Street issues, including the Madoff scandal. Even so, it is not even working on other big scandals. The Marc Dreier investigation is being conducted by U.S. Attorney without a lot of FBI help.
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How bad will the asset management industry be hit?
How bad is it going to get for the asset management industry? A new study from Casey Quirk says that asset-based fees will fall 25 percent between 2007 and 2009. That will have a seismic affect on operating profits, which will drop 30 to 35 percent between 2007 and 2008, and another additional 30 to 35 percent in 2009, if costs are not cut significantly. Margins would decline from 33 percent of revenues in 2007 to just 22 percent in 2009.
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